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Volume 4, Issue 4 - February 18, 2019
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In this Issue:
EDITORIAL: A BUYER'S MARKET
From the gas buyer’s point of view, there has of late been a happy conjunction of circumstances conducive to LNG arriving in northwest Europe in relatively large quantities this winter. None of these conditions were within the control of any one entity; it just so happened that way. Dated Brent at about $60/barrel feeds through into an Asian term contract price of about $8/mn Btu, allowing for a generous 13% discount.
LNG: MORE SELLERS THAN BUYERS
Recent additions to global liquefaction capacity have lifted LNG supply significantly over recent months, leading to falls in gas prices outside North America, the lowest-priced market of all.
TOTAL FIND IGNITES SOUTH AFRICA
A gas find by a consortium led by Total off the south coast of South Africa has propelled gas to the top of the country’s political agenda. It has even led to calls for the country to set up a sovereign wealth fund.
INTERVIEW: LOOKING FOR TURKISH VALUE
This could be a make-or-break quarter for the mid-cap Canadian producer Valeura, as it tests the commerciality of what it believes are some net 10.1 trillion ft3 of gas in Thrace, western Turkey. NGW spoke with Valeura's CEO Sean Guest.
KIEV PRIORITISES GAS OUTPUT
A high-level delegation from Kiev, representing Ukrainian government, parliamentary and industry bodies, launched the second round of oil and gas auctions in London January 29. The speakers were keen to reassure the audience that the rules were now fixed and that arbitrary hikes in royalties were a thing of the past.
LNG EYES NEW MODELS
LNG has freed gas from its pipeline prison and opened the way for new ways of producing and trading the fuel in fresh territories. The possibilities are myriad, which is a lot of uncertainty for the money men to mull.
CHINA AND INDIA READY FOR MORE LNG
China and India are two of the world’s fastest growing economies and second and fourth biggest consumers of LNG. China closed the year 2018 with record volumes of LNG imported for the second year in a row, while India’s imports too were at an all-time high; albeit much lower than that of China.
NAVIGATING SPAIN'S ENERGY ISLAND
In energy terms Spain and the wider Iberian peninsula is sill very much an island, cut off from the rest of Europe by the Pyrenees. A number of ambitious projects have been floated to boost gas connections, the most recent of which is the Step project to increase interconnection capacity between France and Spain. But that was dealt a blow last month when the two countries’ regulators said they could not support the project in its current form.
CHINA’S PRODUCERS UNDER PRESSURE
A decade ago China was producing 99% of the natural gas it consumed. Today policy-driven demand growth has put China on a trajectory of needing to import half its gas by 2030. Not surprisingly, the government is leaning on producers to raise their game.
THE FUTURE OF GAS IN EUROPE
The claim made at the European Gas Conference (EGC) in Vienna was that gas will become the most important energy source in the EU before 2030. This is probably true: but for how long?
EGYPT DRAWS THE MAJORS
The Egyps conference in Cairo early February, with its sprinkling of senior executives from large oil companies, and some well-timed announcements of field start-ups and licence awards, drove home the importance the country attaches to its energy potential.